Introductory Bayesian problems
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20% of patients have Diseasitis. 90% of sick patients and 30% of healthy patients turn a tongue depressor black. You turn a tongue depressor black. What’s the chance you have Diseasitis?
- Blue oysters
A probability problem about blue oysters.
- Sparking widgets
- Sock-dresser search
There’s a 4⁄5 chance your socks are in one of your dresser’s 8 drawers. You check 6 drawers at random. What’s the probability they’ll be in the next drawer you check?
- Bayes' rule examples
Interesting problems solvable by Bayes’ rule