Introductory Bayesian problems

Introductory problems:

  1. Diseasitis

  2. Sock-dresser search

  3. Sparking widgets

  4. Blue oysters

(Hover or click to read them.)


  • Diseasitis

    20% of patients have Diseasitis. 90% of sick patients and 30% of healthy patients turn a tongue depressor black. You turn a tongue depressor black. What’s the chance you have Diseasitis?

  • Blue oysters

    A probability problem about blue oysters.

  • Sparking widgets
  • Sock-dresser search

    There’s a 45 chance your socks are in one of your dresser’s 8 drawers. You check 6 drawers at random. What’s the probability they’ll be in the next drawer you check?