# Arbital markdown demo

Note noteNote, can con­tain mark­down..

Hid­den mark­down text

knows-req­ui­site(Math­e­mat­ics): con­di­tional text with mark­down

Which case fits you best? a: I want to have a ba­sic the­o­ret­i­cal and prac­ti­cal un­der­stand­ing of the Bayes’ rule. -wants: [62d,Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions b: I can eas­ily read alge­bra and don’t mind the ex­pla­na­tion mov­ing at a fast pace. Just give me the ba­sics, quick! wants: Bayes’ Rule and its differ­ent forms -wants: Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions c: I want the ba­sics, but I’m also in­ter­ested in read­ing more about the the­o­ret­i­cal im­pli­ca­tions and the rea­sons why Bayes’ rule is con­sid­ered so im­por­tant. wants: Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions -wants: Bayes’ Rule and its differ­ent forms d: I’d like to read ev­ery­thing! I want to have a deep the­o­ret­i­cal and prac­ti­cal un­der­stand­ing of the Bayes’ rule. wants: Bayes’ Rule and its differ­ent forms,Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions ]

wants-req­ui­site(Bayes’ Rule and its differ­ent forms): %%wants-req­ui­site(Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions): %box: Your path will go over all forms of Baye’s Rule, along with de­vel­op­ing deep ap­pre­ci­a­tion for its sci­en­tific use­ful­ness. Your path will con­tain 12 pages:

• Fre­quency di­a­grams: A first look at Bayes

• Water­fall di­a­grams and rel­a­tive odds

• In­tro­duc­tion to Bayes’ rule: Odds form

• Bayes’ rule: Pro­por­tional form

• Ex­traor­di­nary claims re­quire ex­traor­di­nary evidence

• Or­di­nary claims re­quire or­di­nary evidence

• Bayes’ rule: Log-odds form

• Shift to­wards the hy­poth­e­sis of least surprise

• Bayes’ rule: Vec­tor form

• Belief re­vi­sion as prob­a­bil­ity elimination

• Bayes’ rule: Prob­a­bil­ity form

• Bayesian view of sci­en­tific virtues %

%start-path(Com­pre­hen­sive guide to Bayes’ Rule)% %% %%!wants-req­ui­site(Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions): %box: No time to waste! Let’s plunge di­rectly into a sin­gle-page ab­bre­vi­ated in­tro­duc­tion to Bayes’ rule. % %% <div>

!wants-req­ui­site(Bayes’ Rule and its differ­ent forms): %%wants-req­ui­site(Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions): %box: Your path will teach you the ba­sic odds form of Bayes’ rule at a rea­son­able pace and then delve into the deep mys­ter­ies of the Bayes’ Rule! Your path will con­tain 8 pages:

• Fre­quency di­a­grams: A first look at Bayes

• Water­fall di­a­grams and rel­a­tive odds

• In­tro­duc­tion to Bayes’ rule: Odds form

• Belief re­vi­sion as prob­a­bil­ity elimination

• Ex­traor­di­nary claims re­quire ex­traor­di­nary evidence

• Or­di­nary claims re­quire or­di­nary evidence

• Shift to­wards the hy­poth­e­sis of least surprise

• Bayesian view of sci­en­tific virtues %

%start-path(Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions)% %%

%%!wants-req­ui­site(Bayes’ Rule and its im­pli­ca­tions): %box: Your path will teach you the ba­sic odds form of Bayes’ rule at a rea­son­able pace. It will con­tain 3 pages:

• Fre­quency di­a­grams: A first look at Bayes

• Water­fall di­a­grams and rel­a­tive odds

• In­tro­duc­tion to Bayes’ rule: Odds form %

%start-path(In­tro­duc­tion to Bayes’ Rule odds form)% %% <div>

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